Free MLB Picks & Predictions - Today's Best Expert MLB Bets (2024)

Busch sports a rock-solid .346 wOBA, 126 wRC+ and .192 ISO against righties this season, and San Fran righty Jordan Hicks has served upa .302 batting average and .384 wOBA while posting a 5.83 xFIP against left-handed bats across his past five starts. I also value Busch climbing the lineup to hit second against right-handed starters the past five games, and the Cubbies just faced Hicks on June 17. I expect the quick turnaround to favor the Cubs.

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Neil Parker - Pick Made 4 hrs, 3 min ago.

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It feels like this regression from Hicks was almost expected. The converted reliever is pitching to a 5.56 ERA over his last five starts. His command has been a big problem, walking 9.1% of batters faced this season. That ranks in the 35th percentile among MLB pitchers. It's been even worse lately, as Hicks’ walk rate has ballooned to 14.4% over his last four starts, and now he’ll have a tough matchup against a patient Cubs lineup. Chicago sees a lot of pitches and ranks third in the majors in walk rate when facing right-handers. Hicks has gone Over this number in three of his last four starts.

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Andrew Caley - Pick Made 1 hrs, 0 min ago.

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Harper has been mashing all season long, but he’s going nuclear right now. The seven-time All-Star is in the middle of an 11-game hitting streak where he has a .447 average, a 1.395 OPS, seven doubles, five dingers and 11 RBIs. Tonight he'll face lefty Trevor Rogers who has a 5.10 xERA. Now, you might think the lefty-lefty matchup would be a disadvantage for Harper, but not really. He’s actually hitting better against southpaws this season. Harper is getting to lefties for a .312 average and a 1.003 OPS. All this matchup is doing is giving us a little extra value.

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Andrew Caley - Pick Made 57 min ago.

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Josh Smith ranks 17th in the majors in batting average (.294) and had at least one hit in six of his last seven games prior to Wednesday's 0-for-5 debacle. Three of those hits were dingers, and if he hits another one tonight, that will cash this bet automatically.Smith is a matchup nightmare for Corbin Burnes, who tosses his cutter nearly 45% of the time. Smith is batting .333 vs. cutters this year, and while his .250 batting average vs. curveballs (Burnes' next-most frequent offering at 21.4%) is not all that noteworthy, his .400 average vs. sliders (Burnes' No. 3 pitch at 15.8%) is.

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Robert Criscola - Pick Made 3 hrs, 38 min ago.

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Cardinals starter Miles Mikolas has yet to face the Reds this year, and they sure did a number on him a couple of times last season. Mikolas was pumped for five runs on seven hits in just 5 1/3 innings, including a pair of long balls in a 7-1 loss. He also gave up seven hits and five earned runs in six innings of work in an 8-4 defeat. Cincinnati starter AndrewAbbott was crunched by St. Louis on May 28, giving up seven hits over six innings and surrendering six earned runs. He also got worked in a September start in 2023, chased after just four innings while surrendering six earned runs with three walks and one home run in an eventual 9-4 loss.

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Eric Rosales - Pick Made 5 hrs, 22 min ago.

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Very quietly, Jonathan India has become one of the hottest hitters in baseball. He's riding an eight-game hitting streak where he's got a stupid .517 average and a 1.450 OPS and he’ll be happy to see Mikolas staring back at him tonight. Mikolas has been as the kids say, "Mid" with a 4.01 xERA and a .259 opponent xBA. India is also 6-for-19 in his career vs. Mikolas, good for a .346 xBA and a .689 xSLG. He's topped 1.5 total bases seven times during this hitting streak.

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Andrew Caley - Pick Made 53 min ago.

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I want no part in stepping in front of the Cleveland Guardians freight train and I'm not sure the KC Royals do either. The Guardians enter this game playing some extremely good baseball and will have the pitching advantage here as Ben Lively goes against Michael Wacha. Lively has been a revelation for the Guardians pitching to a 7-3 record with a 3.03 ERA and he's been solid of late, giving up more than two runs just once over hi s last six starts. With the way the Guardians are swinging the bats, at least five runs in six of their last seven games, I believe they'll do more than enough to support their pitcher. Wacha on the other hand has been effective but he's not faced anyone as effective on offense as the Guardians over his last handful of starts. Give me the hotter team here.

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Chris Vasile - Pick Made 19 hrs, 24 min ago.

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Kwan is slashing .400/.464/.640 in June and looks like one of the league’s best contact hitters. He’s already got 10 extra-base hits and 48 total bases in just 19 games this month, eclipsing Over 1.5 total bases 12 times over that stretch. Kwan should be able to keep his strong play up in the series opener against theKansas City Royals, who are slated to startMichael Wacha. Wacha has a 4.07 ERA with 68 hits allowed across 73 innings, and in 13 starts, he’s given up five or more hits six times

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Rob Paul - Pick Made 5 hrs, 52 min ago.

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